Justin McCrary
Professor of Law,
    University of California, Berkeley
    School of Law
    Social Sciences Data Laboratory ("D-Lab")

Curriculum vitae

Working Papers

    How Rigged Are Stock Markets?: Evidence From Microsecond Timestamps
        (with Bobby Bartlett)

    Deaths in Custody in California: 2005 through 2014
        (with Steve Raphael)

    Dark Trading at the Midpoint: Does SEC Enforcement Policy Encourage Stale Quote Arbitrage?
        (with Bobby Bartlett)


    Unmarked? Criminal Record Clearing and Employment Outcomes
        (with Jeff Selbin and Joshua Epstein)
        Forthcoming, Journal of Criminal Law and Criminology

    Are U.S. Cities Underpoliced? Theory and Evidence
        (with Aaron Chalfin)
        Accepted, Review of Economics and Statistics
        Raw data
        Program to produce last row of Table 3 and associated log file
        Web Appendix
        Previous (long) version
        NBER version
        City-by-City Ranking for all 242 Cities

    Criminal Deterrence: A Review of the Literature
        (with Aaron Chalfin)
        Journal of Economic Literature, Volume 55, Number 1, March 2017 (lead article)

    The Deterrence Effect of Prison: Dynamic Theory and Evidence (with David S. Lee)
        Forthcoming, Advances in Econometrics, 2017
        A previous version of this paper circulated as
        Crime, Punishment, and Myopia, NBER Working Paper 11491
        and a highly similar draft circulated under the title listed above

    Conservative Tests Under Satisficing Models of Publication Bias
        (with Garret Christensen and Daniele Fanelli)
        PLOS One, Volume 11, Number 2, February 22, 2016

    The Ph.D. Rises in American Law Schools, 1960-2011: What Does It Mean for Legal Education?
        (with Joy Milligan and James Phillips)
        Journal of Legal Education, Volume 65, Number 543, Spring 2016

    New Evidence on the Finite Sample Properties of
    Propensity Score Matching and Reweighting Estimators
        (with Matias Busso and John DiNardo)
        Review of Economics and Statistics, Volume 96, Number 5, December 2014, 885--897
        Web Appendices from Previous Versions: Parts I (1.8M), II (9.9M)
        Old version with CPS example

    Measuring Benchmark Damages in Antitrust Litigation
        (with Daniel Rubinfeld)
        Journal of Econometric Methods, Volume 3, January 2014

    Do Sexually Violent Predator Laws Violate Double Jeopardy or Substantive Due Process? An Empirical Inquiry
        (with Tamara Rice Lave)
        Brooklyn Law Review, Volume 78, Summer 2013, Number 4, 1391--1439

    General Equilibrium Effects of Prison on Crime:
    Evidence from International Comparisons (with Sarath Sanga)
        Cato Papers on Public Policy, Volume 2, 2012

    The Effect of Female Education on Fertility and Infant Health:
    Evidence from School Entry Laws Using Exact Date of Birth (with Heather Royer)
        American Economic Review, Volume 101, Number 1, February 2011
        Programs are available here, but we are not free to disseminate the data.

    Incomes in South Africa after the Fall of Apartheid
        (with Murray Leibbrandt and Jim Levinsohn)
        Journal of Globalization and Development, Volume 1, Issue 1, January 2010

    Dynamic Perspectives on Crime
        Chapter 4 in Handbook of the Economics of Crime, Edward Elgar, 2010

    Following Germany's Lead: Using International Monetary Linkages to Estimate
    the Effect of Monetary Policy on the Economy (with Julian di Giovanni and Till von Wachter)
        Review of Economics and Statistics, Volume 91, Number 2, May 2009

    Manipulation of the Running Variable in the Regression Discontinuity Design:
        A Density Test
        Journal of Econometrics, Volume 142 , Issue 2, February 2008
        Stata code is here

    The Effect of Court-Ordered Hiring Quotas on the Composition and Quality of Police
        American Economic Review, Volume 97, Number 1, March 2007

    Using Electoral Cycles in Police Hiring to Estimate the Effect of Police on Crime: Comment
        American Economic Review, Volume 92, Number 4, September 2002
           Data available at: http://emlab.berkeley.edu/replications/mccrary/index.html

Mailing address:                                  E-mail:
 Justin McCrary                                  the first letter of my first name, my full last name, at, law.berkeley.edu
 School of Law                     
 University of California, Berkeley                     
 586 Simon Hall
 Berkeley, CA 94720-7200
 Phone (Law): (510) 643-6252
 Phone (Econ): (510) 643-8596

UCR and LEOKA files, 1960-2005, from FBI
Notes on switching to Mac, and some Linux tricks