No. B98-05

Population Forecasting for Fiscal Planning: Issues and Innovations


This abstract consists of a concise list of conclusions from the analysis in this paper.

A. Assessing Recent Official US Vital Rate Forecasts

B. Uncertainty in Population Forecasts

C. Results of Population Forecasts

D. Stochastic fiscal projections:

Ronald Lee
Demography and Economics
University of California
2232 Piedmont Ave
Berkeley, CA 94720

Shripad Tuljapurkar
Mountain View Research
2251 Grant Road
Mountain View, CA 94024