Jesse Rothstein

Office hours:
Sign up here.

IRLE: 2521 Channing Way, #202
GSPP: 1893 LeRoy Ave., #356
Economics: Evans Hall #631B

Tel:(510) 495-0646
Fax:(510) 643-9657

Mailing address:
Institute for Research on Labor and Employment
2521 Channing Way #5555
Berkeley, CA 94720-5555

Working Papers
Published Papers
Resting Papers
Popular writing & video


Professor of Public Policy and Economics
Director, Institute for Research on Labor and Employment (IRLE)
Director, California Policy Lab
Co-Director, Opportunity Lab
University of California, Berkeley

Other affiliations:
Research Associate, National Bureau of Economic Research
Fellow, National Education Policy Center
Fellow, CESifo Research Network
Research Fellow, IZA

Curriculum Vitae

Click here for non-academic writing, op eds, & video.


NEW "The Lost Generation? Scarring After the Great Recession" (May 2019).

NEW "The Augmented Synthetic Control Method," with Eli Ben-Michael and Avi Feller (November 2018). (arXiv).

NEW "Universal Basic Income in the U.S. and Advanced Countries," with Hilary Hoynes (February 2019).


NEW "Inequality of Educational Opportunity? Schools as Mediators of the Intergenerational Transmission of Income". Journal of Labor Economics 37(S1), January 2019. (Pre-publication version) (Policy brief) (Replication archive).

"School Finance Reform and the Distribution of Student Achievement," with Julien Lafortune and Diane Schanzenbach. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 10(2), April 2018. (Pre-publication version) (Policy brief) (Replication archive).

"Making Work Pay Better Through an Expanded Earned Income Tax Credit" (with Hilary Hoynes and Krista Ruffini). In Diane Whitmore Schanzenbach & Ryan Nunn, eds., The 51%: Driving Growth through Women's Economic Participation, The Hamilton Project/Brookings Institution, 2017.

"Scraping By: Income and Program Participation After the Loss of Extended Unemployment Benefits," with Robert G. Valletta. Journal of Policy Analysis and Management 36 (4), Fall 2017, p.p. 880-908. (Pre-publication version and replication files) (Blog post).

"Measuring the Impact of Teachers: Comment." American Economic Review 107(6), June 2017, p.p. 1656-1684. This paper previously circulated under the title "Revisiting the Impact of Teachers." (Pre-publication version) (Policy brief) (Older versions, replication information, and rejoinder to the Reply).

"Social Experiments in the Labor Market," with Till von Wachter. In Handbook of Field Experiments, vol. 2, Abhijit Banerjee and Esther Duflo, eds. North Holland, 2017.

"The Great Recession and its Aftermath: What Role for Structural Changes?" RSF: The Russell Sage Foundation Journal of the Social Sciences 3(3), April 2017. p.p. 22-49. (Pre-publication version) (Replication archive).

"The Measurement of Student Ability in Modern Assessment Systems," with Brian Jacob. Journal of Economic Perspectives 30(3), Summer 2016. p.p. 85-108. (Pre-publication version) (Earlier version).

"Tax Policy Toward Low-Income Families," with Hilary Hoynes (March 2016). In The Economics of Tax Policy, Alan J. Auerbach and Kent Smetters, eds. Oxford University Press, 2017. (Pre-publication version).

"The Earned Income Tax Credit." With Austin Nichols. In Economics of Means-Tested Transfer Programs in the United States, Volume I, Robert A. Moffitt, ed. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2016. (Pre-publication version) (Policy brief).

"The Effect of Extended Unemployment Insurance Benefits: Evidence from the 2012-2013 Phase-Out." American Economic Review: Papers & Proceedings 105(5), May 2015. p.p. 171-176. With Henry S. Farber and Robert G. Valletta. (Pre-publication version) (Replication archive).

"Teacher Quality Policy When Supply Matters." American Economic Review 105(1), January 2015. p.p. 100-130. (Pre-publication version) (New York Times op ed) (Replication archive).

"Unemployment Insurance and Disability Insurance in the Great Recession," with Andreas Mueller and Till von Wachter. Journal of Labor Economics 34 (S1, pt. 2), January 2016. p.p. S445-S475. (On journal web site) (Appendix) (NBER digest summary) (Replication archive).

"Permanent Income and the Black-White Test Score Gap", with Nathan Wozny. Journal of Human Resources 48(3), Summer 2013, p.p. 510-544. (Pre-publication version) (Replication archive).

"Review of Two Culminating Reports from the MET Project." (with William J. Mathis). Published online in Think Tank Review, National Education Policy Center, Boulder Colorado, January 31, 2013.

"The Labor Market Four Years Into the Crisis: Assessing Structural Explanations" Industrial and Labor Relations Review 65(3), June 2012, p.p. 467-500. (Pre-publication version) (Replication archive).

"Unemployment Insurance and Job Search in the Great Recession" (October 2011). Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Fall 2011, p.p. 143-210. (Pre-publication version) (Replication archive).

"Evaluating Teacher Evaluation," with Linda Darling-Hammond, Audrey Amrein-Beardsley, and Edward Haertel. Phi Delta Kappan 93(6), March 2012, p.p. 8-15. (Free version).

"Constrained After College: Student Loans and Early Career Occupational Choices," with Cecilia Rouse. Journal of Public Economics 95(1-2), February 2011, p.p. 149-163. . (Pre-publication version).

"Review of 'Learning About Teaching: Initial Findings from the Measures of Effective Teaching Project.'" Published online in Think Tank Review, National Education Policy Center, Boulder Colorado, January 13, 2011.

"Teacher Quality in Educational Production: Tracking, Decay, and Student Achievement." Quarterly Journal of Economics 125(1), February 2010, p.p. 175-214. Note: An early version of this paper circulated as "Do Value-Added Models Add Value?" (Pre-publication version) (Appendix) (Replication archive).

"Are Mixed Neighborhoods Always Unstable? Two-Sided and One-Sided Tipping," with David Card and Alexandre Mas. In Neighborhood and Life Chances: How Place Matters in Modern America, Harriet B. Newburger, Eugenie Birch and Susan Wachter, eds., 2011, University of Pennsylvania Press. (Pre-publication version) (Replication archive).

"Is the EITC as Good as an NIT? Conditional Cash Transfers and Tax Incidence." American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 2 (1), February 2010, p.p. 177-208. (Pre-publication version) (Appendix). (Replication archive) (Earlier working paper version, titled "The Unintended Consequences of Encouraging Work: Tax Incidence and the EITC").

"The Value of School Facility Investments: Evidence from a Dynamic Regression Discontinuity Design," with Stephanie Cellini and Fernando Ferreira. Quarterly Journal of Economics. 125 (1), February 2010, p.p. 215-261. (Pre-publication version) (Appendix) (Replication archive).

"Student Sorting and Bias in Value Added Estimation: Selection on Observables and Unobservables." Education Finance and Policy 4(4), Fall 2009, 537-571. (Pre-publication version).

"Selection Bias in College Admissions Test Scores," with Melissa Clark and Diane Whitmore Schanzenbach. Economics of Education Review 28(3), June 2009, pp. 295-307. (Pre-publication version).

"Affirmative Action in Law School Admissions: What Do Racial Preferences Do?" with Albert Yoon. University of Chicago Law Review 75(2), Spring 2008, pp. 649-714.

"Tipping and the Dynamics of Segregation," with David Card and Alexandre Mas. Quarterly Journal of Economics 123(1), February 2008, pp. 177-218. (Replication archive).

"Does Competition Among Public Schools Benefit Students and Taxpayers? A Comment on Hoxby (2000)." American Economic Review 97(5), December 2007, pp. 2026-2037. (Pre-publication version) (Appendix) (Replication, prior versions, & supplementary material) (Rejoinder to Professor Hoxby's Reply).

"Racial Segregation and the Black-White Test Score Gap," with David Card. Journal of Public Economics 91(11-12), December 2007, pp. 2158-2184. (Pre-publication version) (Data appendix) (NBER digest summary for lay audience).

"Good Principals or Good Peers: Parental Valuation of School Characteristics, Tiebout Equilibrium, and the Incentive Effects of Competition Among Jurisdictions." American Economic Review 96(4), September 2006, pp. 1333-1350. (Pre-publication version) (Appendices) (Data and replication archive [23MB]).

"Race, Income, and College in 25 Years: The Continuing Legacy of Segregation and Discrimination," with Alan Krueger and Sarah Turner. American Law and Economics Review 8(2), Summer 2006, pp. 282-311. (Pre-publication version).

"Was Justice O'Connor Right? Race and Highly Selective College Admissions in 25 Years," with Alan Krueger and Sarah Turner. In College Access: Opportunity or Privilege, Michael McPherson and Morton Schapiro, eds, New York: The College Board, 2006, pp. 35-46.

"College Performance Predictions and the SAT." Journal of Econometrics 121(1-2), July-August 2004, pp. 297-317. (Pre-publication version) (Policy brief).


"Mismatch in Law School," with Albert Yoon (updated: May 2009).

"SAT Scores, High Schools, and Collegiate Performance Predictions" (updated: June 2009).


Click here!