Economics 102
Macroeconomic Analysis
Siena College
Fall 2011

Professor Martha Olney
Office Location:  Colbeth 110
Office Hours:  Thurs 3-5 in Colbeth 110
MWF 11:20-12:20, starting at Siena 224 and ending either in Siena Fac Lounge or at Colbeth 110


Midterm #2 from previous terms



This is the second midterm from Prof. Olney's Spring 2011 offering of Economics 1.
 The exam was written as a 50 minute exam.
 
Question 1 (18 points total; 8 minutes total)  Food trucks are essentially take-out restaurants on wheels.  They park at the curb, you walk up and order, they sell you cooked food.  There are lots of food trucks in San Francisco.  Each truck offers a slightly different menu.  Opening your own food truck business is relatively cheap and easy.
a.             (5 points) Would you characterize food trucks as perfect competition, monopoly, or monopolistic competition?  Why?
b.             (5 points) Last year, the typical food truck owner earned abnormal economic profit.  Draw a graph that illustrates this situation.
c.             (8 points) In the long run, would you expect food truck owners to continue earning abnormal economic profit?  Why or why not?
 
Question 2 (18 points total; 8 minutes total) Where you live in your 30s and 40s is influenced by where you go to school.  For example,
  If you went to high school in . . . and you went to college in . . . then in your 30s and 40s, you’re likely to live in . . .
group 1 Iowa Iowa Iowa
group 2 Iowa not Iowa not Iowa
 
The state of Iowa offers college scholarships to students in group 1 (graduated high school in Iowa and attend college in Iowa).  The state does not offer college scholarships to students in group 2 (graduated high school in Iowa but attend college in another state).
a.             (8 points) What is the definition of “positive externality”?  Draw a graph at the right that illustrates the private optimum and the social optimum when there are positive externalities.  Label your graph carefully.
b.             (10 points) What is an economic justification for Iowa offering scholarships only to students in group 1? Will Iowa’s scholarship policy generate the socially optimal quantity of Iowa students attending college?  Explain.  Be complete.
 
Question 3 (24 points total; 11 minutes total) Answer any 3 of the following 4 questions.  If you answer all four, your GSI will only grade the first three.  So there is no advantage to answering all four.  Choose 3.
a.             (8 points) Where is the following activity recorded on the expenditure side of GDP accounting?  Give a one-sentence defense of your answer.
                                             The City of Berkeley hires a local paving company to repave Telegraph Avenue.
b.             (8 points) Give an example of someone who is not counted in the national unemployment rate, but is part of the nation’s unemployment problem.  Give a one-sentence defense of your answer.
c.             (8 points) What does it mean for the economy to be in an “unemployment equilibrium”?
ANSWER THIS QUESTION ONLY IF YOU SKIPPED ONE OF THE PREVIOUS THREE QUESTIONS
d.            (8 points) When businesses expect a decline in future sales due to a recession, what happens to investment spending?  Give a one (or two) sentence defense of your answer.
 
Question 4 (15 points; 7 minutes) Suppose the economy can be described by the following equations (all values are billions of dollars per month):
                                                                                                C = 100 + 0.8Yd                  EX = 500               TR = 1,500
                                                                                                I = 300                                   IM = 500               TA = 1,000
                                                                                                G = 400
What is the equilibrium level of output and income?  Show all your work or you will receive zero (0) points on this question.  If you cannot solve this problem without a calculator, set it up and go as far as you can to receive as much partial credit as possible.  No calculators allowed during the exam.
 
Question 5 (10 points; 4 minutes)  Explain carefully and complete why GDP falls by more than $600 billion per year if government spending is reduced by $600 billion per year.
 
Question 6 (15 points total; 7 minutes total)
a.             (8 points) According to article #19b, “The Two-Track Economy: Inequality Emerging from Today’s Recession,” by Simon Johnson, what does Johnson see as an unusual characteristic of the recovery we are now experiencing?   
b.             (7 points) If Johnson is right, we would want to change some of the equations we typically use to describe the economy (the equations in #4).  Suggest change(s) that would capture the phenomena Johnson discusses. 



This is the second midterm from Prof. Olney's Spring 2010 offering of Economics 1.
 The exam was written as a 50 minute exam.

1. At tanning salons, you pay money to have lamps shine on your skin, giving you an instant tan.  The lamps emit ultraviolent radiation, which has bad health effects including cancer.  Higher cancer rates increase health costs for everyone (not just those with cancer). 
a.   What is the negative externality associated with “using a tanning salon”?
b.   The health insurance reform bill signed into law last month includes a 10% tanning tax.  For every $100 spent on tanning, $10 must be paid in a tax.  What effect will this tax have on the price and quantity of tanning at tanning salons?  Draw a graph at the right that supplements your answer.
c. Will the new quantity of tanning be the socially optimal quantity?  Explain.

2. One provision of the health insurance reform bill is that insurance companies can no longer cancel insurance after someone becomes sick.  Does this provision make the moral hazard problems worse, or not as bad?  Explain.  (Define “moral hazard” in your answer.)

3.
a.    List the three characteristics of a monopolistically competitive industry.
b.   Explain why profits equal zero in the long run in monopolistically competitive industries.
c.   Draw a graph at the right that shows the long-run equilibrium for a firm in a monopolistically competitive industry.

4.  Based on article #22, “Can Consumers Spend Asia Out of Recession,” (Business Week, March 15, 2009), what is the key difference between Taiwan's and Japan’s government programs to stimulate demand?  All else constant, in which country – Taiwan or Japan – would the program have the greatest effect on their GDP?  Why?  An answer that makes stuff up gets fewer points than an answer which honestly states “I didn’t read the article.”

5.  Answer 3 of the 4 parts of this question
a.    Why is advertising “not recorded” when it is purchased by a business, but “recorded” as G when it is purchased by a government agency?
b.    Why is it possible for the unemployment rate to stay the same even when there are 162,000 more jobs?
c.    Why is it possible for the 2009 consumer price inflation rate to be 2.1 percent when the cost of food fell in 2009 by 1.5 percent?
d.   Can the macroeconomy be in equilibrium even when the unemployment rate is 10 percent?  Explain.

6. Decreased construction spending – a component of investment – led the way into this recession.
a.   Explain why the drop in housing prices caused a drop in investment in housing construction. Include the concept of “expected rate of return” in your answer.
b.   Explain why the drop in housing construction caused a much larger drop in real GDP.
c.   In which case would the drop in GDP following the drop in housing construction be greater:
        •  [case 1] Consumers have access to credit
        •  [case 2] Consumers do not have access to credit
    Explain.




This is the second midterm from Prof. Olney's Spring 2009 offering of Economics 1.
 The exam was written as a 50 minute exam.

1.  Firm A produces a product with no close substitutes, and there are significant barriers to entering the industry. Firm B is in an industry with no barriers to entry and many firms, but they all produce differentiated products.  What type of industry is Firm A in?  What type of industry is Firm B in?  Which firm can earn profit in the long-run? Why?

2.  Three professors of large-enrollment courses have different reactions to students talking and chatting with each other during class. 
    •    Professor A never says anything to stop students from talking. 
    •    Professor B calls on the talkers and asks if they have a question to ask. 
    •    Professor C requires the talkers to stand, publicly humiliates them, and then kicks them out of class. 
a.    Using economic language, compare the three reactions and discuss their effects on the quantity of talking during class.  In which class will there be the most talking?  In which class will there be the least talking?  At the right, draw a graph that illustrates your answer. 
b.    Whose reaction to talking during class is optimal?  Explain.

3.
    •    Monopoly is when there is one seller and lots of buyers. 
    •    Monopsony is when there is one buyer and lots of sellers. 
Based on what you know about monopoly, would you expect the monopsony price to be above, below, or the same as the perfectly competitive price?  Explain your answers.

4.  Suppose the economy can be described by the following equations (all values are billions of dollars per year):

            C = 100 + 0.8YD                      I = 100                        G = 200              EX = 400              IM = 500              TR = 300              TA = 400

a.    What is the equilibrium level of output and income?  Show all your work or you will receive zero (0) points on this question.  If you cannot solve this problem without a calculator, set it up and go as far as you can to receive as much partial credit as possible.  No calculators allowed during the exam.
b.    Draw a graph that shows the determination of macro equilibrium for this economy.  Label everything clearly.

5. Everyone would like to know when the recession will end and when the economy will return to normal.
a.    What is the current unemployment rate in the US?  Why does that rate understate the true extent of the unemployment problem?  Define your terms.
b.    Suppose the economy reaches an unemployment equilibrium by the end of 2009.  What does that mean?
c.    According to the article #18, “The Menace of an Unchecked Housing Bubble,” by Dean Baker, what would be the macroeconomic effects of the bubble bursting?  In your answer, include enough detail from the article so that we know you read the article.  An answer that makes stuff up gets fewer points than an answer which honestly states “I didn’t read the article.”
d.    Clearly explain why and how the $787 billion fiscal stimulus will generate more than $787 billion in output and income.
e.    Autonomous consumption has fallen for (at least) two reasons:
        •    The credit crisis: banks are unwilling to lend to households
        •    The bursting of the housing bubble: home equity has plummeted
Why would the recession end sooner if the drop in autonomous consumption was due to the credit crisis rather than the bursting of the housing bubble?  Draw a graph if it would make your explanation more clear.



This is the second midterm from Prof. Olney's Spring 2008 offering of Economics 1.
 The exam was written as a 50 minute exam.

1.    Bears have become a problem at Lake Tahoe, even wandering onto the beaches where children play.  When families put their household garbage outside in not-bear-proof containers, bears eat the garbage and then return regularly.  So local communities around Lake Tahoe now require that families purchase & use bear-proof garbage containers which cost $250 each. 
Last year, if you put your garbage out in a not-bear-proof container, you had to pay a fine of $100 for the first offense and $500 for the second & each subsequent offense.  But you could get back all the money you paid in fines once you bought a bear-proof container.  There were still lots of problems with bears last year.  This year, the fine is $300 for the first offense, and $1,000 for the second & subsequent offenses and you can’t get the money back after you buy a bear-proof container.
a.    What is the definition of “negative externality”?  Why is “putting household garbage in a not-bear-proof container” an activity that generates negative externalities at Lake Tahoe?
b.    Compare last year’s fine and this year’s fine: do you think this year’s fine will do a better job, a worse job, or the same job of eliminating the use of not-bear-proof garbage containers?  Explain.

2.  Suppose the economy can be described by the following equations (all values are billions of dollars per year):

        C = 800 + 0.6Yd        EX = 1500        TR = 1000
        I = 1000            IM = 2000        TA = 1500
        G = 3000
           
a.    What is the equilibrium level of output and income?  Show all your work or you will receive zero (0) points on this question.  If you cannot solve this problem without a calculator, set it up and go as far as you can to receive as much partial credit as possible.  No calculators allowed during the exam.
b.    At the right, draw a graph that shows the determination of macro equilibrium for this economy.  Be sure to show the values of the intercept, slope, and equilibrium income.

3. 
a.    Spending for construction of new houses has fallen by $200 billion per year.   As a result, will GDP fall by $200 billion per year, more than $200 billion per year, or less than $200 billion per year?  Clearly and completely, explain why.  (Assume there is no policy reaction.  And remember: just giving the name of an economic concept is not the same as explaining.)
b.    Some mis-informed people said that the drop in construction (noted in part a) posed no problem for the U.S. economy because “those workers were all undocumented workers from Mexico who will go back to Mexico.”  The premise of that statement is incorrect.  But let’s assume – incorrectly, but for the sake of argument – that indeed all the laid off workers in construction were undocumented workers from Mexico who returned to Mexico after being laid off.  (That’s not true, but let’s make the assumption for a few minutes.)  Compare two situations: [1] all the laid off construction workers returned to Mexico, and [2] all the laid off construction workers stayed in the U.S.  Would the effect on U.S. GDP of the drop in construction spending when all laid-off workers return to Mexico be smaller than, larger than, or the same as the effect when all laid-off workers stay in the U.S.?  Explain.

4.  The Federal Reserve (the Fed) conducts monetary policy.  Suppose the economy begins at the Fed’s target inflation rate and target unemployment rate, which are shown as infl0 and un0 in the graph in part c below.
a.    When construction spending decreases (as in Question 3a) and the unemployment rate rises, what effect does this have on the inflation rate?  Why?
b.    The Fed reacts.  What does the Fed do to fight the effects of the decrease in construction spending?  Why will the Fed’s action affect unemployment and inflation?
c.    At the same time that construction spending decreases, the economy experiences a cost shock that increases oil prices.  Draw the Phillips Curve at the right.  Label the initial position – before anything happens – as point A.  Show the effect of the decrease in construction spending as point B.  Show the effect of the cost shock as point C.  Show the combined effect of the Fed fighting the decrease in construction spending and the oil cost shock as point D.
d.    Can the Fed simultaneously fight both the construction spending decrease and the oil cost shock?  Explain.

5.
a.    What does it mean for a household to earn the “median income” in the U.S.?  In 2005, what was the median household income in the U.S.?  (Round to the nearest $10,000).
b.    Since 2000, has the U.S. income distribution become more or less unequal?  Drawing on article #16, (“Special Report: The Rich, the Poor and the Gap Between Them - Inequality in America.”  The Economist, June 17, 2006), offer one piece of evidence that illustrates the change in income inequality and one possible reason for the change in income inequality since 2000. 



This is the second midterm from Prof. Olney's Spring 2007 offering of Economics 1.
 The exam was written as a 50 minute exam.


1.    Laptops can be beneficial to students for note-taking.  But web surfing, solitaire, email, you-tube, and more is distracting to students seated behind the laptop.
a.    Consider Sorena.  His private marginal cost of using the laptop in class is the wear and tear on the laptop and the risk the laptop will be lost or stolen.  His downward-sloping marginal benefit is better note-taking.  But Sorena also checks email, surfs the web, and watches an occasional you-tube video during class.
    Draw a graph at the right that shows (1) how many hours per semester Sorena would want to use his laptop, and (2) the socially optimal number of hours per semester that Sorena should use his laptop in class.  Explain.
b.    An econ student tells the prof she should impose a penalty (essentially, a tax) on laptop users who are doing more than just note-taking.  What determines the size of the penalty?  Will the penalty eliminate the distracting behavior?  Why or why not?

2.    Article #14, “The Lemongrass War,” describes competition between two Indonesian restaurants in Queens, New York: Padang Raya (owned by Mr. Rahman Imansjah) and Manangasli (owned by Ms. Nani Tanzil).
a.    Why does “monopolistic competition” characterize Padang Raya and Manangasli?
b.    Padang Raya opened first, in June 2004.  Draw a graph that shows the profit-maximizing price and quantity of meals sold and the profit earned at Padang Raya when Ms. Tanzil worked there as a chef.
c.    Then Ms. Tanzil was fired.  In August 2005, she opened her own restaurant, Manangasli.  In your graph, how would you show the effect of this new restaurant on Padang Raya?  (Tell us. Don’t draw it.)  Why?

3.    Suppose the economy can be described by the following equations (all values are billions of dollars per quarter):
C = 200 + 0.8Yd       
I = 300       
G = 400
EX = 500
IM = 500
TR = 400
TA = 500
a.    What is the equilibrium level of output and income?  Show all your work or you will receive zero (0) points on this question.  If you cannot solve this problem without a calculator, set it up and go as far as you can (cost of not fully solving = loss of 3 points).  No calculators allowed during the exam.
b.    Government spending for military equipment and personnel rises by $100 billion per quarter.  Will the equilibrium level of output and income rise by more than, less than, or exactly $100 billion per quarter?  Explain why.

4.    The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the Federal Reserve (the Fed) conducts monetary policy.
a.    When the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates, does investment spending fall, rise, or stay the same? Why?
b.    When the unemployment rate falls, does the inflation rate fall, rise, or stay the same?  Why?
c.    What is an inflation dove?  An inflation hawk? 
d.    The inflation rate and the unemployment rate are initially both at the Fed’s target or goal rates.  Then the price of oil rises due to supply restrictions.  What does the Fed do when oil prices rise if the FOMC members are inflation hawks?  What does it do if the FOMC members are inflation doves? 
    Draw a Phillips Curve graph at the right which shows the effects of the rise in oil prices and the Fed’s reaction.  Label the initial position “A”, the hawk position “H”, and the dove position “D”.

5.     Answer only two (2) of the three (3) parts in this question.
a.    Define “gross domestic product.”  What was the 2006 value of nominal GDP for the United States?
b.    Is everyone who is out of work “unemployed”?  Explain.  What was the February 2007 unemployment rate for the United States?
c.    What is the “consumer price index”?  What was the inflation rate in the U.S. between December 2005 and December 2006?




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Last updated  9/6/2011