Conference on Demography and Fiscal Policy:
October 16-17, 1998, Alumni House, UC Berkeley

sponsored by the Robert D. Burch Center for Tax Policy and Public Finance and the
Center for the Economics and Demography of Aging, UC Berkeley

Organizers Alan Auerbach and Ron Lee invited research papers that evaluate the effects of changing demographics on fiscal policy. Low birth rates and increased longevity will soon not only alter the age structure, but will affect programs such as health care, Social Security and welfare.

Presentations by some of the world's leading public finance economists and economic demographers showed how the analytical tools of those disciplines can be used to determine the impact of these changes.

These papers, along with discussants' comments, are being compiled for a book to be published by Cambridge University Press.


B98-01 "Uncertainty and the Design of Long-Run Fiscal Policy"
Alan Auerbach, UC Berkeley
Kevin Hassett, AEI

B98-02 "Using Microsimulation to Examine Social Security's Long-Term Forecast"
Steven Caldwell, Cornell
Alla Gantman, Boston University
Jagadeesh Gokhale, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Thomas Johnson, Cornell University
Laurence Kotlikoff, Boston University
Download Tables
NOTE: Chart not available

B98-03 "Demographics and Medical Care Spending: Standard and Non-Standard Effects"
David Cutler, Harvard University
Louise Sheiner, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

B98-04 "Social Security, Retirement Incentives, and Retirement Behavior: An International Perspective"
Jonathan Gruber, MIT
David Wise, Harvard University
Tables 1 & 2
Table 3
Note: Figures not available

"Population Forecasting for Fiscal Planning: Issues and Innovations"
Ronald Lee, UC Berkeley
Shripad Tuljapurkar, Mountain View Research

B98-06 "How Does a Community's Demographic Composition Alter Its Fiscal Burdens?"
Thomas MaCurdy, Stanford University
Thomas Nechyba, Stanford University

B98-07 "Demographic Change and Public Assistance Expenditures"
Robert A. Moffitt, Johns Hopkins University
Note: Figures not available

B98-08 "Aging, Fiscal Policy and Social Insurances: A European Perspective"
by Bernd Raffelhüschen,
Albert-Ludwigs-University of Freiburg, Germany
University of Bergen, Norway

Excerpt taken from the IBER Bulletin, December 1998.