Conference on
Demography and Fiscal Policy:
October 16-17, 1998, Alumni House, UC Berkeley
sponsored by the Robert D. Burch Center for Tax Policy and Public Finance
and the
Center for the Economics and
Demography of Aging, UC Berkeley
Organizers Alan Auerbach and Ron Lee invited research papers that evaluate the effects of changing demographics on fiscal policy. Low birth rates and increased longevity will soon not only alter the age structure, but will affect programs such as health care, Social Security and welfare.
Presentations by some of the world's leading public finance economists and economic demographers showed how the analytical tools of those disciplines can be used to determine the impact of these changes.
These papers, along with discussants' comments, are being compiled for a book to be published by Cambridge University Press.
B98-01
"Uncertainty and the Design of Long-Run Fiscal Policy"
Alan Auerbach, UC Berkeley
Kevin Hassett, AEI
Abstract
B98-02
"Using Microsimulation to Examine Social Security's Long-Term Forecast"
Steven Caldwell, Cornell
Alla Gantman,
Boston University
Jagadeesh Gokhale, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Thomas Johnson,
Cornell University
Laurence Kotlikoff, Boston University
Figures
Download Tables
NOTE: Chart not available
Abstract
B98-03 "Demographics and Medical Care Spending: Standard and Non-Standard Effects"
David Cutler, Harvard University
Louise Sheiner,
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Figures
Abstract
B98-04
"Social Security, Retirement Incentives, and Retirement Behavior:
An International Perspective"
Jonathan Gruber, MIT
David Wise,
Harvard University
Tables 1 & 2
Table 3
Note: Figures not available
Abstract
"Population Forecasting for Fiscal Planning:
Issues and Innovations"
Ronald Lee, UC Berkeley
Shripad Tuljapurkar, Mountain View Research
Figures
Abstract
B98-06 "How Does a Community's Demographic Composition Alter Its Fiscal Burdens?"
Thomas MaCurdy,
Stanford University
Thomas Nechyba,
Stanford University
Abstract
B98-07 "Demographic Change and Public Assistance Expenditures"
Robert A. Moffitt, Johns Hopkins University
Note: Figures not available
Abstract
B98-08 "Aging, Fiscal Policy and Social Insurances:
A European Perspective"
by Bernd Raffelhüschen,
Albert-Ludwigs-University of Freiburg,
Germany
University of Bergen, Norway
Figure
Abstract
Excerpt taken from the IBER Bulletin, December 1998.